By Rebwar Mohammed
The Middle East is currently undergoing rapid changes, including the US-Iran nuclear talks in Vienna, the Saudi-Iranian talks, and Turkey's efforts to normalize relations with Egypt and Saudi Arabia.
These changes come in the wake of the campaign to normalize Israeli relations with many Arab countries during the administration of Donald Trump, and these changes are to review the composition of the region and resolve conflicts between the poles in order to solve problems and provide peace and security in the region.
But the political situation that has imposed itself on the region, due to the persistence of decades of problems, is not easy to end. The path of reconciliation and recovery is very difficult after the economies of several countries collapsed and their maps were distorted, and they were filled with militias and terrorist organizations.
The Middle East is now a scene of conflict between world powers because they want to map the balance and create a new world order. Thus, the major regional powers want to review their policies and solve their problems.
The outcome of the US-Iran talks in Vienna will determine the direction of the problems and events
Acceleration of events, changes in the Middle East, the arrival of the Joe Biden administration to the government, returning to the direction of a nuclear agreement with Iran, and Biden's policy change toward Saudi Arabia has prompted the reorganization of the Saudi-Iranian talks in Iraq and attempts have been made to reorganize the two main forces in the region after years of proxy war against each other. Washington's efforts have led to a slowdown on the horizon.
There are many different religions in the Middle East, and sectarian strife has led to tensions, especially between Saudi Arabia and Iran, and Iran's efforts to expand in the region and its role in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen creates more complications.
Meanwhile, after the meetings between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Turkey has made efforts to normalize relations with Saudi Arabia and previously with Egypt so that Saudi Arabia does not have a negative impact on Turkey during the Iran-Saudi agreement.
In the aftermath of the events in the Mediterranean Sea and the tensions in Libya and Turkey's efforts to normalize relations with Europe and Egypt, Turkey wants to escape the impact of European sanctions on it and the threat of military confrontation.
There is now a new hegemony in the Mediterranean, including the efforts of Turkey, Russia and China to increase their hegemony and the decline of the hegemony of the United States and Europe through these powers. But the French efforts and initiatives to save Lebanon from the situation in which France tried to make it a gateway to European hegemony in the region, failed.
The halt of Israeli-Arab normalization, the emergence of the Iran-China agreement, Russia's activities from Syria to Libya, and the uncertainty of Joe Biden's administration will take the region in different directions.
On the other hand, Israel's efforts with Washington to prevent Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon because it poses a threat to Israel and the security of the region.
The outcome of the Vienna meetings will determine the direction of events and politics in the Middle East, and several scenarios have been set in place. If the agreement does not go in the right direction, an Israeli, Saudi and UAE front may be formed against Iran, the security situation in the Gulf will deteriorate, especially the oil market, there is a possibility of division of Yemen into two states and many other scenarios.
Kurdistan Region
The Kurdistan Region is at the center of all these changes, and the agreements and disagreements of the regional parties have direct positive and negative effects.
If the United States and Iran do not agree, the Kurdistan Region will face more problems and the events of the past few months against the region will continue and pose a threat to the security of the Kurdistan Regional Government.
If Turkey reaches an agreement with the countries of the region, it will be more open and these and many other risks, especially the emergence of war and fierce conflict will affect the oil market and the economy of the region will face other risks and crises.
Unfortunately, the parties in the Kurdistan Region are busy with the secondary problems and their internal conflicts and work to break each other's bones. They fabricate things for each other, they defy the advice and demands of our friends.
With this situation in the region and lack of planning, the region will face danger from any future changes. We hope that the factions will be unified and that there will be a plan ahead of time for any unforeseen events in the Kurdistan Region.
The source of some of the information is the London Arabic newspaper